Conservatives 6.7% Swing Since 1995 In Key Marginals

A poll carried out for the Times/Populous in 100 Labour held key marginal seats has the Conservatives on 38% and Labour on 38%, this is a swing to the Conservatives of 6.7% since 1995 and makes the likelihood of a hung parliament less probable.

David Cameron still continues to have higher approval ratings than Gordon Brown on 8 out of 10 key issues.

The poll shows that the switch of voters from Labour to the Tories is about 1.5 to 2 points higher in the battleground seats than nationally. That might be worth an extra 20 MPs to the Conservatives, smaller than many in the party would hope after the big spending on these targets. It might be enough only to take the Tories to the threshold of the 326 seats they need for a bare overall majority in the Commons. The election is weeks away, almost certainly on May 6.

Populus repeated a question that proved revealing in the 2008 US presidential campaign, on whether change or experience was needed most. In the US, the margin for change over experience was about 2 to 1, highlighting Barack Obama’s edge over John McCain. In Britain, 56 per cent favour change and 40 per cent experience.

About Tory Aardvark

Climate Realist, Conservative and proud NRA member. I don't buy into the Man Made Global Warming Scam, science is never settled. http://toryaardvark.com @ToryAardvark on Twitter ToryAardvark on Facebook

Posted on March 9, 2010, in Conservative, Labour and tagged , , , . Bookmark the permalink. 3 Comments.

  1. This is a huge relief, but Cameron nees to come out fighting in those debates!

  2. Talking of key marginals you fuckwit, a recent UGOV poll suggested that since 1690, UKIP have been steadily gainning in support even in St Kilda (Jockland). Even the chocolates with their postal votes in Ascension Island have slowly swung round to UKIP even although they realise that this means they won’t be allowed into England. In a recent MORI poll in the Guardian, it was also discovered that 70% of darkies and mussies who are here illegally are drifting towards UKIP, even although it means being put back in the boat and sunk by an English Trident Submarine, hopefully, the HMS Invincible. I know which poll I believe, you fairy tale swallowing faggot, and I mean fairy. Best Wishes, happy Easter, you cunt.

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